Archive for January, 2005

The Democrats Move Forward?

Monday, January 24th, 2005

The Senate Democrats have released a few documents outlining their plans for the new session…

MaxSpeak, You Listen! DEMO WONKFEST
The Senate Dems have unveiled their agenda for this year. They have released a raft of documents on election reform, fiscal policy, veterans, economic policy, Medicare, education, reproductive rights, health care, supporting the troops, terrorism, and “Keeping America’s Promise.” (These are MS Word files. Feel free to post and circulate.)

By and large the policies are sound. I’ll start with a few that I felt really hit the nail on its head.
(more…)

Winter Weather

Saturday, January 22nd, 2005

Ever since I developed an unhealthy obsession with weather forecasting freshman year of high school, I’ve kept my eye out for websites that would help me play meteorologist. To date, the most useful source has been weather.gov, which offers “forecast discussions” for every region in the country. These discussions are flat text files containing a few paragraphs of weather commentary; they are written by the National Weather Service meteorologists who create the official forecasts. Weather tends to be a bit mundate, and the discussions generally reflect this tendency.

Which brings us to the latest discussion for the New York City area. I count two — that’s right, two — exclamation points!! Then again, when a forecast lists total snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches as one of its predictions, an exclamation point or two might be warranted.

OVERALL...EXPECT THINGS TO GET RATHER WILD LATE SAT AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY THE EVENING. 35 MICROBARS IN THE BEST DENDRITE GROWTH
ZONE. THIS SHOULD GENERALLY EQUATE TO AT LEAST A COUPLE HOURS OF
2-4" PER HOUR SNOWS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDER. THERE MAY BE TOO MUCH
SHEAR IN THE COLUMN TO GET SLANTWISE CONVECTION TO REMAIN ORGANIZED
AND RESULT IN NASTY DISCRETE BANDING. USUALLY WANT UNIDIRECTIONAL
PROFILE FOR THAT SORT OF STUFF. STILL...SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE HEAVY
ENOUGH BETWEEN 21Z AND 06Z! 
WANT TO GET WORD OUT NOW. 3-5 FT DEPARTUES IN
WRN SOUND LOOK LIKELY AROUND 12Z SUNDAY. WATCH OUT EATONS NECK AND
ASHAROKEN!
GOOD THING THIS STORM WILL BE HAPPENING OVER THE WEEKEND.
OTHERWISE...WE'D BE LOOKING AT MORE WIDESPREAD PROBLEMS. FOR THOSE
SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE...ENJOY...I KNOW YOU'VE BEEN WAITING A LOOOONG
TIME. 

Social Security Thoughts

Thursday, January 20th, 2005
  • Most americans know soc sec has problems (~1% think it’s perfectly solvent)
  • But they are ambivalent about privatization (~50-50 split)
  • Bush is convincing them to accept privatization plan
  • Party must adapt
    • Republicans are owning the media
    • Response from traditional demcrats has been weak. They didn’t get the message out
    • Bright spot: the blogs! Have provided very balanced debate
    • www.ThereIsNoCrisis.com - but can Dems fight privatization by coming up with something better?
  • Dems are working against the current if they try to combat Bush plan with no plan
    • people know the system isn’t solvent
  • Dems can propose their own plan and take advantage of privatization ambivalence
  • Evidence that Bush is owning the debate
    • people thinking that privatization will fix the problem
    • without a wide conception of “the problem” it won’t
  • Congress has a whole bunch of tools to fix the problem, Dems MUST start emphasizing them
  • “Indexing” - determines the benefits a generation receives, based on how much that generation pays in
  • Wage indexing
    • one generation supports another
    • pays in benefits from its own wages, but gets benefits “up-valued” based on the wages of the next generation.
    • the problem: it assumes a constant ratio of workers-to-dependents
    • as people live longer, ratio drops, resulting in overpromises
  • Price indexing
    • one generation pays for itself, gets back the same benefits it puts in
    • Not dependent on worker-to-dependent ratio
  • When the current system is changed to price indexing, it generates huge surpluses.
    • (One generation “pays for another”, but the payout is only what the earlier, poorer generation “put in”.)
    • Bush wants this indexing, and will use the surpluses to ultimately pay for the borrowing for his private accounts.
    • What Bush isn’t saying: indexing fixes the problem, NOT THE PRIVATE ACCOUNTS
  • Since the Dems don’t want private accounts, they can change the indexing to somewhere between prices and wages, maximizing benefits
  • Other tools…
  • Raise the retirement age slightly
    • 1 year every decade?
    • Must act soon! People are planning their lives around this
    • Can help to keep worker-to-dependent ratio stable
  • Benefit phase-in / Increase progressivity
    • Workers start receiving benefits at the same age, but not full benefits
    • (Is this a real plan?)
    • Or reduce benefits paid out to the rich, (while increasing benefits to poor?)
  • Increase revenue
    • Gov’t employees don’t pay social security!
    • Social security tax (FICA) is highly regressive: poor people pay a greater percentage of their income to it
    • 6% by both employer and worker on income up to $90k, right now. after that, nothing!
    • Make FICA apply to higher levels of income, or unearned (e.g. capital gains) income
    • Can help us to stave off benefit cuts
    • Maybe not the best strategy for the dems? Similar to John Kerry’s tax plan

Adam Sacarny, Plagiarist Extraorinaire?

Tuesday, January 11th, 2005

Astute readers will remember a certain angry post I made a few months back. Basically, I had written an Op-Ed piece and gotten it published in the Columbia Spectator. The piece crticized the controversial film Columbia Unbecoming. The next day the newspaper had run a correction, claiming that because I had posted a similar version of the piece on my blog, the material had been “previously published” — an act that strictly violated Spectator guidelines.

Since I had first shown the article to the Spectator editors by giving them a link to the blog, I figured that they had simply forgotten to tell me of the policy. After they ran the piece, I received an e-mail explaining the Spectator reprinting policy — but not a notification that a correction would run the following day. I supposed that the editor who originally saw the draft had simply told some pedantic higher-up who didn’t want this mistake to happen again. I then shrugged my shoulders and moved on to the next message in my Inbox.

The next day Spectator ran the correction, and when I saw it, I was pissed. I immediately wrote a pretty scathing e-mail. However, after weighing the costs and benefits of fighting with the very people I needed to get my opinions in print, I closed the e-mail without sending it. So began the healing process. That was that… until now.

It seems that there is a student a Columbia who has a clear agenda with respect to MEALAC, but, having been kicked off the Spectator, lacks a public means of articulating his opinions. He runs a blog where he complains about bias in MEALAC and the Spectator, but unlike most campus media critics, he has valiantly decided to correct that bias by any means possible. To refute my piece, he turned to academia’s greatest embarassment: plagiarism.

This fellow, who goes by the name of Ariel Beery, sent a letter to the Spectator with these choice words:

What I do think you should be worried about, however, is plagiarism. The article you ran by Adam Sacarny was, in large parts, previously printed, which can also be found here (and added in the extended entry below in case he erases it). It doesn’t matter that the author of the two was the same person — just like you have to cite your previous work when you write a paper, a newspaper has to fully disclose when an article was previously printed, in whole or in part. What you published, then, can be considered by Columbia’s code of ethics “plagiarism.”

I had considered many kinds of challenges to my article and had considered logical responses for all of them, but I never thought that someone would try to discredit my argument without responding to its points at all! Thankfully, Spectator kept my article on their website, and they didn’t bother to sully it with the correction. I’m glad they don’t seem to have fully accepted Beery’s attack, because there’s an important question that I wish Beery and the Spectator editors had considered: does making a blog post equal publication?

You might be surprised to know that I think Beery’s on to something. If people beyond my inner circle of friends actively read the blog, if I had posted the article as a final copy and not as a first draft, and if I had attempted to conceal its presence on the blog from the Spectator’s editors, then yes, it would be reasonable to call my actions plagiarism. However, I posted the article on the blog so that my friends could review it: placing it on an easily accessible and reloadable site allowed me to show them my changes without sending e-mails back and forth. I stopped updating the online copy once the editors explained that they wanted to see the changes in word format — further evidence that it was only posted for review. Finally, when I first showed the article to the editor, I did so by giving him the address of my blog. He entered the address into the web browser and read the draft to an editor-in-training, criticizing it without warning me that what I was doing amounted to plagiarism.

Blogs are a new medium, and they can certainly be publications. At the same time, making a blog post is usually not tantamount to getting your piece in a newspaper, magazine, or nearly any other print media. For me, the article was on my blog not for publication, but for peer review. Beery should have contacted me and clarified the issue before sending his letter. Since he blogs too, the communication could have resulted in an interesting online debate about MEALAC — one which would have informed many people about the controversy. So why did Beery pass up this opportunity? I can only speculate, but it seems that he would prefer to silence unsavory views, rather than contribute to an open dialogue about them. Strangely enough, balanced discussions were just what Columbia Unbecoming supposedly sought to encourage. Since Beery doesn’t seem to have learned from the film, maybe we should consider his actions as more proof of its failure to convince.